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Thursday, April 6, 2017

Odds of Donald Trump Being Impeached

Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes. All posts on this site do not reflect upon the site's views or opinions. - OD

Submitted to Operation Disclosure,

Odds Of Donald Trump Being Impeached

March 7th, 2017

$ 25 billion border walls, possible ties to the Russian government, declassifying federal court wiretaps, and shady family business deals -- all just a few of the reasons many Americans believe President Donald Trump won't make it until the end of his first four-year term.

The President recently sent out a tweet storm claiming with no evidence that former President Barack Obama ordered that his Trump Tower apartment be wiretapped.

Trump tweeted:

"Terrible! Just found out that Obama had my 'wires tapped' in Trump Tower just before the victory. Nothing found. This is McCarthyism!"

Legal experts were quick to note that the President may have inadvertently unclassified a FISA warrant (Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act) by acknowledging a secret order issued by a Federal judge.

Those tweets and a barrage of other troubling actions have the GOP on edge and many Americans demanding action — perhaps in the form of an impeachment.

The President's actions have Vegas odds makers scrambling

Betting firm Bovada offers a running proposition bet that has placed Trump's odds at finishing a full-term at 10/13 odds. That means every 0 bet would earn the better $ 130. If you bet $ 105 in favor of Trump, you'll earn back $ 100.

The firm reached its decision with the question: "Will Donald Trump complete a full term as POTUS? Yes: -105, No: -130

While sentiment has shifted in Trump's favor, bookies in early February had a different view, offering 2:1 odds that the 45th POTUS would be impeached before his first term comes to an end. Before Trump's inauguration, those odds sat at 4:1.

Here are a few startling reasons Trump could be impeached

Trump has come under fire for various actions he has performed since taking office.

The POTUS has regularly attacked the free press, calling major publications such as MSNBC and CNN "fake news" while refusing to answer many of their questions. Experts have questioned if the President may be undermining the First Amendment.

Trump's First Amendment violations may also extend to the arbitrary and capricious statements and orders he has made in direct violation of the Due Process clause of the First Amendment. Essentially, he loves to shoot from the mouth without any supporting materials or evidence.

The President has also been accused of using his position as leader of the free world to help his own private businesses become more prosperous. Trump's eldest sons are operating his many enterprises while still meeting with their father on a regular basis. Presidents in the past have liquidated their assets or placed their business holdings in completely blind trusts.

Federal Regulation 2635.702 notes that no U.S. President shall be allowed to use the presidency for private gain.

Recently, Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort, which he refers to as his Florida White House, increased annual membership from $ 100,000 to $ 200,000 per year. Trump has already spent $ 10 million vacationing at Mar-a-Lago in one month. By comparison, the Obamas spent $ 85 million over eight years.

The biggest skeleton in Trump's closet may be his administration's meetings with Russian ambassadors ahead of the U.S. election. National Security Adviser Michael Flynn was forced to resign after it was confirmed that he met with Russian officials ahead of the election.

Most recently, Attorney General Jeff Sessions was forced to recuse himself from the investigation into the Russian fiasco after he perjured himself in front of Congress.

Trump's administration has been accused of colluding with Russian hackers in an attempt to influence U.S. election results, a dire violation of American Democratic traditions if proven true.

The Undetermined Factors

Trump isn't just facing questions about Constitutional violations. His critics have also noted that the POTUS has appointed unqualified friends and business partners to officer at a disturbing rate.

The President's decision to separate undocumented workers from their parents has also led to questions about his discriminatory practices. Trump has also promised to place a permanent ban on Syrian refugees.

The President's travel ban, while perhaps overstepping its authority, is even more troubling because Trump included only Middle Eastern countries where he has no significant business holdings in the ban. Apparently, countries Trump may have a financial interest in are excluded from such sanctions.

The actual likelihood of a Trump impeachment

Let's be honest for a moment — impeachment is hard.

The closest we have come in U.S. history to a Presidential impeachment was the GOP's attack on Bill Clinton and the Watergate scandal involving Richard Nixon, a man who may have been impeached if he didn't resign from office before proceedings could be completed.

If further evidence of Russian collusion is revealed, Trump continues to overstep his executive reach, and he refuses to stop making accusations on Twitter without any due process, impeachment might be on the table.

For now, we can probably count on at least four years of a Donald Trump presidency.

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