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Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Cyclone Could Bring Hurricane Force Winds to the East Coast

Hurricane force winds and snow to head up East Coast in rapidly intensifying 'bomb cyclone'

  • A "bomb cyclone" heading up the East Coast of the United States could bring hurricane force winds.
  • It involves a rapid drop of pressure within a 24-hour period.
Robert Ferris | @RobertoFerris

Source: CNBC

East Coast prepares for ice and snow 1 Hour Ago | 02:06

As many Americans hunker down under blankets and in front of space heaters this week, meteorologists will be staring at satellite images of the "truly amazing" storm spinning up the East Coast.

All day Thursday meteorologists are going to be glued to the new GOES-East satellite watching a truly amazing extratopical "bomb" cyclone off New England coast. It will be massive -- fill up entire Western Atlantic off U.S. East Coast. Pressure as low as Sandy & hurricane winds
-- Ryan Maue | @RyanMaue 1:11 PM - Jan 2, 2018
They will be watching a phenomenon known as "bombogenesis," which is when a mid-latitude cyclone rapidly intensifies due to a sudden drop in pressure in the center of the storm.

In general, a cyclone is a storm that rotates or spins around a low-pressure center. That can refer to a variety of storms, but is perhaps most commonly associated with tropical cyclones, which are so named because they originate in tropical ocean waters. These include hurricanes in the Atlantic, typhoons in the Pacific, and the cyclones in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean.

Cyclones are basically formed and fueled by a mix of warm moist air rising from warm ocean water and cooler air above, which forms the rising warm air into clouds.

As the warm air rises, it leaves something of a vacuum, which other, colder air rushes into. A phenomenon called the Coriolis effect causes the winds to swirl.

A "bomb cyclone" is one such rotating storm, but one where the pressure at the center of the storm drops very rapidly.

The term sounds menacing, but it actually refers to the rapid drop in pressure, not the effects of the storm or anything like that.

"Bombing is simply the rapid decrease or drop in surface barometric pressure of at least 24 millibars in 24 hours and [signifies] intensification or strengthening of the storm system," said meteorologist Ryan Maue of in a blog post. A millibar is simply a unit of pressure. The typical atmospheric pressure at sea level is 1023.45 millibars, according to the American Meteorological Society.

These phenomena are not particularly rare, Maue told CNBC on Wednesday. Based on his research, the Northern Hemisphere sees about 40 to 50 of these cyclones each year, primarily from March to September. That is when the conditions are best for them: the jet stream is strong enough and the contrasts between the colder temperature in the air and the warmer ocean temperatures, which help fuel the growth of the storm, are especially pronounced

"Thus, this bomb cyclone with this intensity isn't 'unusual' but just toward the stronger, faster developing tail of the distribution," Maue said. "We can expect a few of these each Fall and Winter along the U.S. East coast but many harmlessly go out to sea or impact Canada. Of course, the ones that do slam into the coast have major impacts!"

The National Weather Service said Wednesday morning that a rapidly deepening area of low pressure off the east coast of Florida will move up the Atlantic coast Thursday and Friday. Winter storm watches and warnings are in effect from north central Florida northward all the way through eastern New England.

Blizzard conditions are possible across portions of eastern New England late Thursday. The weather service issued a coastal flood warning for the eastern coast of Massachusetts.
[BREAKING: COASTAL FLOOD WARNING ISSUED EASTERN MA COAST] Widespread moderate with pockets of major coastal flooding with particular concern across the Plymouth county coast and the area from Sandwich to Dennis during the midday Thursday high tide.
-- NWS Boston @NWSBoston 8:20 AM - Jan 3, 2018
Some forecasts say Saturday's low in New York City will be 3 degrees.

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